![3 Reasons to Sell EXPD and 1 Stock to Buy Instead](/files/images/20250131/68a0a59033b75283f74406cc3f.jpeg)
Over the past six months, Expeditors’s shares (currently trading at $113) have posted a disappointing 9.5% loss, well below the S&P 500’s 10.3% gain. This might have investors contemplating their next move.
Is there a buying opportunity in Expeditors, or does it present a risk to your portfolio? Check out our in-depth research report to see what our analysts have to say, it’s free .
Even though the stock has become cheaper, we're sitting this one out for now. Here are three reasons why we avoid EXPD and a stock we'd rather own.
Why Do We Think Expeditors Will Underperform?
Expeditors (NYSE:EXPD) offers air and ocean freight as well as brokerage services.
1. Long-Term Revenue Growth Disappoints
Reviewing a company’s long-term sales performance reveals insights into its quality. Any business can have short-term success, but a top-tier one grows for years. Regrettably, Expeditors’s sales grew at a sluggish 3.5% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years. This was below our standard for the industrials sector.
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2. Low Gross Margin Reveals Weak Structural Profitability
For industrials businesses, cost of sales is usually comprised of the direct labor, raw materials, and supplies needed to offer a product or service. These costs can be impacted by inflation and supply chain dynamics in the short term and a company’s purchasing power and scale over the long term.
Expeditors has bad unit economics for an industrials business, signaling it operates in a competitive market. As you can see below, it averaged a 13.5% gross margin over the last five years. Said differently, Expeditors had to pay a chunky $86.50 to its suppliers for every $100 in revenue.
![3 Reasons to Sell EXPD and 1 Stock to Buy Instead](/files/images/20250131/2c645b17e8670800fee3aaca42.jpeg)
3. EPS Barely Growing
Analyzing the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) shows whether a company's incremental sales were profitable – for example, revenue could be inflated through excessive spending on advertising and promotions.
Expeditors’s EPS grew at an unimpressive 7.3% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years. On the bright side, this performance was better than its 3.5% annualized revenue growth and tells us the company became more profitable on a per-share basis as it expanded.
![3 Reasons to Sell EXPD and 1 Stock to Buy Instead](/files/images/20250131/38455e3ab72ed722fe52339c81.jpeg)
Final Judgment
Expeditors doesn’t pass our quality test. Following the recent decline, the stock trades at 22.1× forward price-to-earnings (or $113 per share). This multiple tells us a lot of good news is priced in - you can find better investment opportunities elsewhere. We’d recommend looking at a fast-growing restaurant franchise with an A+ ranch dressing sauce .
Stocks We Like More Than Expeditors
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