• October 15, 2024

3 investable themes, categories outside of the AI trade

While Nvidia's (NVDA) record high on Monday — the stock has since retreated in Tuesday trading — pushes the tech sector and hopes for the AI chip industry higher, perhaps there are still some opportunities for investors that lie outside of artificial intelligence. Alger Director of Market Strategy Brad Neuman sits down with the Catalysts team in-studio to talk about the three categories or investment themes he is seeing outside of AI: homebuilders, drug developers, and alternative asset managers. "Structurally, we're short homes in America... maybe 2 million homes. So there's a supply-demand imbalance," Neuman tells Seana Smith. "So it's an attractive market from that perspective. And cyclically mortgage rates are kind of elevated relative to the general interest rate picture." In the homebuilder category, Neuman names Builders FirstSource (BLDR), NVR, Inc. (NVR), and Trex Company (TREX). Neuman also makes the case for structural-cyclical dynamics in the biotech and pharmaceutical space: "The pipeline is growing, so it's a growth industry. That said there was an inventory overhang after COVID and the volumes have waned over the past couple of years. But we think they're on the upswing. And next year is setting up to be a normal year, or perhaps even better than that." He names Repligen (RGEN) and Danaher (DHR) for this category. Lastly, Neuman turns to alternative asset management firms, and lists Blue Owl Capital (OWL), StepStone Group (STEP), and Hamilton Lane (HLNE) among potential opportunities. To watch more expert insights and analysis on the latest market action, check out more Catalysts here. This post was written by Luke Carberry Mogan.

  • October 15, 2024

Federal Reserve's Daly Emphasizes Restrictive Monetary Policy to Curb Inflation

According to BlockBeats, on October 15, Federal Reserve's Daly stated that the Fed's monetary policy remains restrictive as efforts continue to reduce inflation. Daly emphasized that the progress towards the Fed's goals is uncertain and vigilance is necessary. The Federal Reserve aims to achieve a 2% inflation target while maintaining full employment in the job market.

  • October 15, 2024

New York Fed Reports Inflation Expectations for September

According to Odaily, market sources indicate that the New York Federal Reserve's one-year inflation expectation for September stands at 3%, unchanged from the previous value of 3.00%. Data from the New York Fed reveals that consumers' inflation expectations for the next three years have risen to 2.7%, up from the previous 2.5%. Additionally, consumers' inflation expectations for the next five years have increased to 2.9%, compared to the prior 2.8%.

  • October 15, 2024

Morgan Stanley: Federal Reserve to Continue Interest Rate Cuts Amid Mixed Labor Market Signals

According to Morgan Stanley’s Chief Investment Officer Lisa Shalett, the Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates again in November, but policymakers are proceeding cautiously due to stubborn inflation. Speaking at a recent forum, Shalett noted that while the labor market remains mixed, the Fed has shifted away from aggressively pursuing its 2% inflation target.Fed Treads Carefully on Rate CutsShalett emphasized that the Fed's focus has shifted to the labor market, indicating that inflation is no longer cooling fast enough to warrant aggressive cuts.Most Fed policymakers are aligned with further rate reductions in the coming months. However, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic suggested that a rate cut might be skipped in November, highlighting cautious sentiment.Economic Data Signals Modest InflationRecent data reflects persistent inflationary pressure:CPI inflation rose slightly more than expected in September, while PPI growth remained flat.September jobs data and other positive economic indicators have shifted market expectations from a 50 basis point cut to a more modest 25 basis point cut during the Fed’s Nov. 6-7 policy meeting.Traders now assign an 89% chance of a 25 bps rate cut in November, with bond markets beginning to rally as inflation expectations are priced in.Political Uncertainty Adds Market VolatilityShalett noted that November 5 Election Day could bring further uncertainty, with polls showing Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump tied in seven swing states.She cautioned that no clear election result may emerge immediately, adding to market volatility.Investment Strategies for a Volatile MarketGiven the current market conditions, Shalett recommends investors take shelter in real assets:Gold, commodities, real estate, and energy infrastructure assets offer protection from rising volatility.Hedge fund strategies focusing on market-neutral positions are also favored as a safeguard against unpredictable market conditions.