• October 10, 2024

10-Year Treasury Yield Rises, Breaking Decidedly Past 4%

Inflation came in slightly above expectations and bond investors are demanding more yield to make the bet on the longer term. The trigger was fresh inflation data that showed prices are growing at a level higher than expected. The consumer price index climbed 2.4% year over year in September versus expectations of 2.3%.

  • October 10, 2024

Stock Futures Falling Ahead of CPI Inflation Data. China Selloff Stalls.

U.S. stock futures were pointing to a negative open on Thursday. Investors will be watching for the fallout from Hurricane Milton and are awaiting the release of U.S. inflation data. Federal Reserve officials debated whether to lower interest rates by a quarter or half of a percentage point last month, according to the minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee’s Sept. 17-18 meeting, which were published on Wednesday afternoon.

  • October 10, 2024

BlackRock Strategists Predict Gradual Fed Rate Cuts by Early 2025

According to Odaily, BlackRock strategists have indicated in a recent report that the likelihood of rapid interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve is low due to stable economic growth prospects. They stated, 'We believe there is room for the Federal Reserve to lower rates to around 3.5% or slightly higher by early 2025.'BlackRock also noted that the minutes from the Federal Reserve's September meeting suggest a gradual approach to rate cuts. 'We anticipate a normalization of monetary policy rather than a shift to an accommodative stance,' they added.

  • October 10, 2024

Analyst Predicts Slight Increase in Core PCE Inflation for September

According to Odaily, analyst Paul Ashworth stated in a report that considering today's CPI report, the core PCE inflation indicator for September might accelerate from 0.1% in August to 0.2%. However, the annualized rate is expected to be only slightly above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. The PCE data will be released at the end of the month. Additionally, tomorrow's PPI report will help adjust expectations.Ashworth mentioned that if his prediction is accurate, the pace of inflation decline would support a more cautious approach by the Federal Reserve in reducing interest rates by 25 basis points early next month.

  • October 10, 2024

Goldman Sachs Executive Comments on September CPI Report

According to Odaily, Whitney Watson, the Global Co-Head of Fixed Income and Liquidity Solutions and Co-Chief Information Officer at Goldman Sachs, stated that the September CPI report was stronger than expected, with core CPI showing an unexpected rise. However, Watson emphasized that labor market data remains the primary focus for the Federal Reserve. He believes that next month's employment data will be a more crucial factor in determining the pace and extent of the Federal Reserve's easing measures.