Investment Learning

  • September 5, 2024

Forvis Mazars Economist Predicts 25 Basis Points Rate Cut

According to Odaily, Forvis Mazars Chief Economist George Lagarias expressed his views on the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting during an interview with CNBC on Thursday. Lagarias firmly supports a 25 basis points rate cut, emphasizing that a larger cut of 50 basis points is unnecessary and could send the wrong signals to the market and the economy. He stated, 'I don't see the urgency for a 50 basis points cut. Such a move might convey the wrong message to the market and the economy. As we know, a recession can become a self-fulfilling prophecy, so making such a decision without a compelling reason would be very dangerous. Unless something happens to unsettle the market, there is no need to cause panic.'

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  • September 5, 2024

U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims Slightly Lower Than Expected

According to BlockBeats, for the week ending August 31, the United States reported 227,000 initial jobless claims, slightly below the expected 230,000. The previous week's figure was revised from 231,000 to 232,000.For the week ending August 24, continuing jobless claims were reported at 1.838 million, also below the anticipated 1.865 million. The prior week's number was adjusted from 1.868 million to 1.86 million.

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  • September 5, 2024

ADP Employment Data Impacts Financial Markets

According to BlockBeats, on September 5, the release of the ADP employment data had significant effects on various financial markets. Following the announcement, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) experienced a brief decline of 10 points, currently standing at 101.03. Concurrently, the USD/JPY exchange rate saw a sharp drop of nearly 50 points, now reported at 143.13.In the bond market, the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury note fell to 3.747% after the employment data was made public. Similarly, the yield on the U.S. 2-year Treasury note decreased to 3.733%, marking its lowest level since May 2023. Additionally, spot gold prices saw a short-term increase of $4, now trading at $2516.78 per ounce.

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  • September 5, 2024

Howard Marks Predicts U.S. Interest Rates to Stabilize Between 3% And 4%

According to Odaily, Howard Marks of Oaktree Capital has forecasted that following the Federal Reserve's rate cuts, U.S. interest rates will stabilize between 3% and 4%. Marks, who is the co-chairman and co-founder of Oaktree Capital, made this statement during a conference in Melbourne on Thursday. He indicated that the Federal Reserve would lower the rates from the current emergency levels of 5.25% to 5.5% down to around 3%. Marks emphasized his belief that the rates would remain at approximately 3%, and would not revert to zero, 0.5%, or 1%.

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