• October 10, 2024

U.S. CPI Data May Impact Dollar and Forex Market

According to Odaily, analysts at UniCredit Bank have indicated in a report that the upcoming release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data could be a significant test for the foreign exchange market, particularly for the US dollar. This follows stronger-than-expected non-farm payroll data released last Friday. Persistent price stickiness might lead investors to reconsider the number of future rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, thereby supporting the dollar. If this scenario unfolds, the EUR/USD pair could fall below 1.09, and the USD/JPY pair might surpass 150. Conversely, a decline in the overall CPI could result in a slight drop in the dollar, but it is unlikely to push the EUR/USD pair above 1.10.

  • October 10, 2024

SwissOne Capital: Fed Rate Cuts May Limit Bitcoin Market Share Growth

According to BlockBeats, on October 10, SwissOne Capital, a cryptocurrency asset management company, stated that the Federal Reserve's rate-cutting cycle might hinder the continuous rise in Bitcoin's (BTC) market share, potentially leading to broader gains for the entire crypto market.Data from TradingView indicates that Bitcoin's market share, which is its proportion of the total cryptocurrency market capitalization, has increased from 38% to 58% over two years. In other words, Bitcoin's growth has outpaced the overall market, driving the total digital asset market capitalization to double, surpassing $2 trillion.SwissOne Capital noted that due to the Federal Reserve's recent 50 basis points rate cut, initiating a so-called easing cycle, there is limited room for Bitcoin's market share to rise further."Bitcoin's market share has a positive correlation with the U.S. federal funds rate," SwissOne Capital mentioned in a market update, adding that during previous rate-cutting cycles, Bitcoin's market share declined.SwissOne Capital highlighted, "If history repeats itself, the recent rate-cutting cycle in the U.S. undoubtedly suggests that Bitcoin's market share has almost no room for further increase."SwissOne Capital also pointed out, "With stablecoins' market capitalization nearing 10% of the total market cap, we believe this explains why Bitcoin's market share might peak between the current level and 60% (at most), followed by a significant reversal."

  • October 9, 2024

Fed's Daly Confident in Achieving 2% Inflation Target

According to BlockBeats, on October 10, Federal Reserve's Mary Daly expressed full support for the 50 basis points rate cut in September. Daly conveyed confidence in the path to achieving the 2% inflation target and indicated that there might be one or two more rate cuts this year. She noted that while the policy rate remains stable, the real interest rate is rising. Daly emphasized the importance of monitoring data, particularly the labor market and inflation, and adjusting interest rates as necessary. The extent of the September rate cut does not imply the future pace or magnitude of rate cuts.

  • October 9, 2024

Federal Prosecutors Charge Crypto Market Manipulators

According to CoinDesk, federal prosecutors have charged two purported market makers, several crypto projects, and over a dozen individuals with manipulating various crypto markets. The charges allege that these entities profited from fees and selling manipulated coins at elevated values.The charging documents, unsealed on Wednesday, reveal that Gotbit and ZM Quant engaged in wash trading of various tokens to create the illusion of legitimate activity. They sold these tokens at artificially inflated prices, marketed them on various platforms, and convinced exchanges to allow them to buy tokens with reduced fees. Prosecutors claim that both Gotbit and ZM Quant publicly presented themselves as legitimate market makers offering legal services, while privately providing illegal services, including wash trading.In Gotbit’s case, the illegal activities were not entirely private. In 2019, Gotbit co-founder Alexey Andryunin, then a 20-year-old college sophomore, explained to CoinDesk how the wash trading services worked. He admitted that Gotbit was not registered in any jurisdiction because it was “not entirely ethical.” ZM Quant was registered in the British Virgin Islands, but its employees named in the indictment were based in Hong Kong. Gotbit's employees are believed to be Russian.The manipulated tokens included Robo Inu, which saw a price increase after the indictment was unsealed. Other named defendants include VZZN, NextFundAI, and Saitama. According to the indictments, each token, including Robo Inu, is classified as a security. Several individuals behind these projects, including Robo Inu founder Vy Pham, have also been named as defendants.The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has unveiled parallel civil charges against Gotbit and its employee director Fedor Kedrov, a Russian resident.

  • October 9, 2024

U.S. Stocks Rise Following Fed Meeting Minutes Release

According to BlockBeats, on October 10, U.S. stocks continued their upward trend following the release of the Federal Reserve meeting minutes. The S&P 500 index increased by 0.5%, the Dow Jones rose by 0.9%, and the Nasdaq climbed by 0.38%.In the foreign exchange market, the USD/JPY experienced a short-term rise of 10 points, reaching 149.25. Currently, the USD/JPY stands at 149.23, marking a 0.7% increase. Meanwhile, the EUR/USD saw minimal changes, declining by 0.37% to 1.0939 during the day. Additionally, the yield on the U.S. two-year Treasury bond slightly decreased to 4.011%.

  • October 9, 2024

Federal Reserve Minutes Reveal Support for 50 Basis Points Rate Cut

According to BlockBeats, the minutes from the Federal Reserve's October 10 meeting indicate that a significant majority of members support a 50 basis points rate cut. This decision reflects a consensus among the members to adjust the monetary policy in response to current economic conditions.During the meeting, some participants highlighted that there were reasonable grounds for a 25 basis points rate cut in the July meeting. This discussion underscores the ongoing deliberations within the Federal Reserve regarding the appropriate measures to sustain economic stability and growth. The minutes provide insight into the central bank's strategic considerations and the factors influencing their policy decisions.

  • October 9, 2024

Citigroup Analysts Predict Federal Reserve Unlikely to Cut Rates in November

According to Odaily, Citigroup analysts have indicated that despite recent labor market data potentially causing some market participants to reconsider their expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, it is unlikely that the Fed will skip a rate cut during its November meeting. Last Friday's non-farm payrolls saw a significant increase of 254,000, surpassing economists' expectations of 140,000. However, analysts noted, 'We suspect that the strong employment report released last Friday may not be sustainable.' Citigroup highlighted, 'A series of weak labor market data previously led the market to expect the Federal Reserve to cut rates by at least 25 basis points at each meeting, and possibly take more substantial measures with a 50 basis point cut.'

  • October 9, 2024

Taiwan to Pilot Crypto Custody Services Through Local Banks

According to Cointelegraph, Taiwan is advancing institutional cryptocurrency adoption as local regulators plan to pilot crypto storage services through local banks. The Financial Supervisory Commission (FSC) of Taiwan is preparing to launch an institutional trial of crypto custody services, as reported by the Central News Agency on October 8.While the FSC expects to start collecting applications in the first quarter of 2025, three private banks in Taiwan have already shown interest in piloting a crypto custody business. The FSC has specified that financial institutions applying for the trial must detail the types of assets they will store for clients, such as Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH), or Dogecoin (DOGE). Additionally, institutions must provide information about their target users, whether they are professional or general investors, crypto-asset platforms, or others.FSC’s director of the comprehensive planning division, Hu Zehua, mentioned at a press conference that the authority plans to publicly release information on the upcoming trial at least 15 days before starting to accept applications. The FSC will also collect public feedback on the proposed trial and revise the process accordingly. This is a developing story, and further information will be added as it becomes available.

  • October 9, 2024

U.S. Dollar Rises Ahead of Federal Reserve Meeting Minutes Release

According to Odaily, the U.S. dollar experienced an increase ahead of the release of the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes. Last month, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50 basis points, and the upcoming minutes may provide insights into future policy measures. Chris Turner, an analyst at ING, noted in a report that the market has already reduced the Federal Reserve's 2024 easing cycle by about 30 basis points over the past few weeks. However, he also questioned whether investors are currently inclined to reprice the Federal Reserve's aggressive easing cycle.Turner further mentioned that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, scheduled for release on Thursday, could indicate that the core inflation rate in the U.S. remained high in September. This could potentially support the dollar. The market's focus remains on the Federal Reserve's next steps and the implications of the CPI data on the broader economic outlook.

  • October 9, 2024

Fed's September Meeting Minutes To Be Released This Week

According to Odaily, the minutes from the Federal Reserve's September meeting will be released this Thursday at 2:00 AM UTC+8. SEB, a Swedish bank, noted that apart from the rate cuts discussed in the September meeting, new economic forecasts were also provided. These forecasts indicate that by 2026, the U.S. economy is expected to achieve a soft landing with an economic growth rate of around 2% and inflation nearing target levels. The interest rate predictions suggest two 25 basis point cuts before the end of this year and a 100 basis point cut in 2025.The minutes will offer interesting insights into the pace of future rate cuts and the factors that might trigger faster reductions. Given that the rate-cutting cycle has already begun, discussions on long-term rates, including when and at what level they are expected to bottom out, will also be of significant interest.