• July 23, 2024

Fed May Start Rate Cuts In September, Limited Dollar Depreciation Expected

According to Odaily, analysts at Société Générale suggest that the Federal Reserve might begin cutting interest rates in September, but any depreciation of the dollar is expected to be limited. The bank's forex strategists noted that the dollar's rebound in 2021-2022 has provided ample room for downward correction. However, unless the U.S. economy slows down significantly more than anticipated, U.S. interest rates are 'very unlikely' to approach pre-pandemic levels of 2020.They highlighted that the most significant fluctuations are expected in the dollar-yen exchange rate, which could drop from the current 156.197 to 140 by early 2025. The yen has been the currency most adversely affected by rising U.S. interest rates and yields. Additionally, they mentioned that at some point in 2024 or 2025, the euro-dollar exchange rate might increase from the current 1.0850 to 1.15.

  • July 23, 2024

European Banks Revive Digital Asset Payment Market

According to Odaily, approximately a year and a half after the collapse of crypto-friendly banks in the United States, European banks are making strides to rejuvenate the 24/7 payment market for digital assets. In recent weeks, two Swiss banks, AMINA Bank AG and Sygnum Bank AG, have launched real-time payment and settlement networks. Their objective is to fill the void left by the Silvergate Exchange Network (SEN) and Signature Bank's Signet platform, both of which played crucial roles in providing liquidity to the crypto market before their collapse in March 2023.Company documents reveal that in the quarter preceding their shutdown, SEN processed $117 billion in transfers, while Signet handled $275.5 billion. The introduction of these new networks by AMINA Bank AG and Sygnum Bank AG aims to restore the seamless liquidity and continuous transaction capabilities that were lost with the closure of SEN and Signet. This move is seen as a significant step towards stabilizing and advancing the digital asset ecosystem in Europe.

  • July 22, 2024

U.S. House Passes Bill To Form Crypto Working Group

According to CoinDesk, the U.S. House of Representatives has passed a bill to establish a working group to investigate the use of cryptocurrencies in terrorism and money laundering. The bill, sponsored by Rep. Zach Nunn (R-Iowa), aims to create a temporary group under the Treasury Department to assess and recommend measures to prevent the misuse of digital assets by bad actors. The group would include industry representatives, such as members from blockchain intelligence companies.Despite the House's approval, the bill is unlikely to advance further without a corresponding Senate measure. This legislation is part of a broader effort by Congress to address cryptocurrency regulation, although the Senate has yet to match the House's progress. The bill's passage follows other crypto-friendly measures, such as the Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act (FIT21), which have also cleared the House Financial Services Committee.In a speech on the House floor, Nunn emphasized the importance of the legislation in enhancing national security, protecting digital assets, and fostering the development of financial and internet technology within the United States. However, Jaret Seiberg, an analyst at TD Cowen, suggested that the bill serves more as a political gesture. He noted that it allows crypto critics to push for stricter money laundering regulations while providing crypto advocates with political cover against accusations that digital assets facilitate criminal activities.As the 2024 presidential contest approaches, cryptocurrency has become a significant political issue. However, the likelihood of a divided Congress reaching a consensus on comprehensive crypto regulation remains slim. Industry insiders are closely monitoring relevant provisions in the National Defense Authorization Act, which sets the nation's defence priorities.Additionally, the Digital Chamber sent a letter to Vice President Kamala Harris, urging her to adopt a positive stance on digital assets and blockchain technology. The letter called for Harris to include a pro-crypto position in the Democratic party's platform and to select a running mate with a history of supporting innovation in digital asset technology. This appeal aligns with similar requests from other industry participants, advocating for a more crypto-friendly approach from the potential Democratic leader.

  • July 22, 2024

Fed May Signal Rate Cut with Softer Inflation Language

According to Odaily, the Federal Reserve's upcoming policy meeting next week may see the removal of the term 'elevated' when describing inflation. If this change occurs, it would be the strongest indication yet that the Fed plans to cut interest rates as early as September, initiating a new easing cycle. Adjusting the description of inflation to a milder term could also lead to modifications in another key sentence of the current policy statement: the Fed will not cut rates until officials are 'more confident that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2%.'In June, 2024 FOMC voting member Raphael Bostic indirectly suggested that an inflation rate of 2.5% or below could serve as a benchmark for considering a change in the inflation description. Many economists believe that the June PCE data, set to be released on July 26, will fall to or below this threshold.

  • July 21, 2024

10x Research Predicts Crypto-Friendly Government Post-Biden

According to Odaily, 10x Research has released a report indicating that a crypto-friendly government is likely to take office following President Biden's decision not to seek re-election. Historically, this transition often results in the resignation of the SEC Chairman when a new administration is elected. Although SEC Chairman Gary Gensler's term is set to end on June 5, 2026, the report suggests he is most likely to resign in January or February of 2025.

  • July 21, 2024

President Biden Announces Decision Not To Seek Reelection

According to CoinDesk, President Joe Biden has announced that he will not be seeking reelection. This decision marks a significant moment in U.S. politics as it opens the field for new candidates in the upcoming presidential race. Biden, who has served as the 46th President of the United States, made this announcement today, signalling a shift in the political landscape.Biden's tenure has been marked by various challenges and achievements, including navigating the country through the COVID-19 pandemic, addressing climate change, and implementing economic recovery measures. His decision not to run for a second term will likely lead to a competitive primary season as potential candidates from both major parties prepare to campaign for the presidency.The announcement has already sparked discussions and speculations about who might emerge as the frontrunner in the next election. Political analysts are closely watching key figures within the Democratic Party, as well as potential Republican challengers, to see how this decision will influence their strategies and platforms. Biden's choice not to seek reelection may also impact his current administration's focus and priorities in the remaining time of his presidency.As the political landscape evolves, the American public and international observers will be keenly interested in the developments leading up to the next presidential election. Biden's announcement is expected to have far-reaching implications for the future of U.S. politics and governance.

  • July 20, 2024

SEC Forms Interagency Securities Committee To Combat Fraud

According to Odaily, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has established the Interagency Securities Committee (ISC) to enhance coordination among federal, state, and local securities fraud agencies. The ISC aims to improve fraud prevention, share insights on emerging threats, and develop a unified approach to combating financial fraud. Quarterly meetings will be held to discuss trends, scams, and mitigation strategies. ISC Chairman and SEC Enforcement Division Director Gurbir S. Grewal, along with SEC Investor Advocate Cristina Martin Firvida, emphasized the benefits of multi-level cooperation. The ISC comprises over 100 agencies, providing a platform for experts and law enforcement to share information and innovative methods.

  • July 19, 2024

ZA Bank Offers Reserve Banking Services For Stablecoin Issuers In Hong Kong

According to Odaily, Hong Kong's virtual bank ZA Bank has announced the provision of exclusive reserve banking services for stablecoin issuers under the new stablecoin licensing regime. This framework mandates that stablecoin issuers must hold reserve assets in local banks to ensure market stability. ZA Bank has become the first digital bank to offer such services and is collaborating with Yuancoin to promote innovation and stability in digital assets. The bank is currently in discussions with ten other stablecoin companies and is actively supporting the policies of the Hong Kong Monetary Authority.

  • July 19, 2024

Hong Kong To Propose Stablecoin Regulation By Year-End

According to Odaily, Hong Kong's Deputy Secretary for Financial Services and the Treasury, Joseph Chan Ho-lim, announced during a Legislative Council subcommittee meeting on Web3 and virtual asset development that the government is drafting the second version of regulations for stablecoin issuers. The aim is to submit the draft to the Legislative Council for review by the end of this year.

  • July 18, 2024

Argentina Implements Tax Amnesty for Crypto Assets

According to Odaily, the Argentine government has signed a fiscal plan this week that includes a tax amnesty for individuals declaring assets worth $100,000, including registered crypto assets. Roberto Silva, Chairman of the National Securities Commission of Argentina, stated that this amnesty could alleviate pressure from the Financial Action Task Force (FATF). An analysis report from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) indicated that FATF has threatened to place Argentina on a grey list, which would increase monitoring of the country, potentially stifle foreign direct investment, raise international interest rates, and possibly lead to a decline in GDP.Silva mentioned that the registration of crypto assets is the first step towards regulation, hinting that these rules might follow those implemented in the United States. Experts believe this move could help Argentina regulate its cryptocurrency market. In May and June of this year, Argentina intensified its crackdown on crypto-related crimes. The prosecutor's office conducted 64 raids, resulting in the arrest of 20 domestic and 10 international criminals involved in smuggling, money laundering, and illegal gambling. Argentine leaders are scheduled to meet with FATF in Paris in October, where the task force will continue to assess Argentina's risks related to money laundering and terrorist financing.