• May 2, 2024

Three Reasons to Be Careful Today

The equity risk premium for stocks is incredibly low … what the S&P’s CAPE level suggests for 10-year returns going forward … trouble in the yield curve … is trading the best way to handle all this? Check out the chart below. Pretty good, right? Source: StockCharts.comWell, see what you think when we pull back.Below is the same stock chart but over a wider timeframe. I’ve circled the uptrend from above. Source: StockCharts.comPerspective matters.Today, there are all sorts of market-related mini-

  • May 1, 2024

TREASURIES-Treasury yields steady ahead of FOMC announcement

U.S. Treasury yields dipped on Wednesday, after a report showing the labor market remained tight last month, hours before a Federal Reserve decision on whether the economy is too strong, and inflation too sticky, to pivot to an easier rate policy soon. According to the ADP Employment report, private payrolls increased by 192,000 after rising by an upwardly revised 208,000 in March. But rates were overall hardly moving, nosing off again after the U.S. Treasury Department announced a total refunding of $125 billion for the May to July quarter that would raise new cash of $17.2 billion.