How to Prepare for Tariff Day
This week will be crucial for markets as Trump is set to announce (or disappointingly not announce) tariffs. In this piece, I will highlight the rationale behind my base case scenario and its impact...
This week will be crucial for markets as Trump is set to announce (or disappointingly not announce) tariffs. In this piece, I will highlight the rationale behind my base case scenario and its impact...
US Rates Update The US 10-year Bond Yield has completed wave i at the 5.021% high and we are correcting that 5-wave impulsive sequence within wave ii, which has the following retracement...
“Non-Mega Cap stocks could reasonably outperform Mega Cap stocks by about 7 percentage points annually over the next decade,” writes Bill Hester. History, it seems, may validate thesis. As for a...
It was a strong week for US stocks and gold, with the S&P rising about 3% by the end of the week. Markets are bracing for potential volatility and policy surprises as Donald Trump is inaugurated...
Friday’s price action seemed suspicious at best and full casino mode, especially during an options expiration that appeared intent on wiping out as many 6,000 puts and calls as possible. It was a...
In last week’s discussion with Thoughtful Money, I noted that we are becoming more “tactically bearish” as we progress into 2025. While we have remained primarily bullish in equity positioning over...
If you draw enough lines on a stock chart, one of them is bound to predict the future accurately! Given that technical analysis is perfect in hindsight and flawed in foresight, many investors mock it...
From March 2022 through August 2024, there was widespread concern that the tightening of monetary policy by the Fed over that period would cause a recession. It was the most widely anticipated...
Gold has been grinding sideways for the better part of several months now, weighing on sentiment. Late October’s mounting bullishness is long gone, deteriorating to apathy. But gold’s recent high...
